How to rank patients for treatment?

As coronavirus cases grow, hospitals adopt a system to rank patients for treatment

a point system calculating a patient’s likelihood to benefit from ICU care, based on two considerations: 1) saving the most lives and 2) saving the most life-years.
The lower the patient scores, the higher their prioritization for care. In the system’s eight-point scale, the first four points illustrate the patient’s likelihood to survive hospitalization, and the last four points assess whether, assuming they survive hospitalization, they have medical conditions associated with a life expectancy of less than one year or less than five years.
For the science behind the scoring system read this executive summary

Ranking countries by … (you know)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths by Country, Territory, or Conveyance

The coronavirus COVID-19 is affecting 150 countries and territories around the world and 1 international conveyance (the Diamond Princess cruise ship harbored in Yokohama, Japan). The day is reset after midnight GMT+0.

You can follow the dynamics, (and can make your own prediction).

 

 

Competition with the War and Peace

My former student Brad Fl. wrote me two weeks ago a mail:
Hi Dr. Erdi,
I saw you wrote a new book “Ranking”… Congrats! I’m working on reading War and Peace right now but that’s next on my list .
Two weeks later I asked him about his progress…
“Slow but steady” and attached this pic. Any guess, when he will read Ranking?warandpeace

German Edition: it is official

The contract for the the  German translation right with Münchner Verlagsgruppe GmbH now has  signed and countersigned contract.

Well, as my Publisher wrote: “These deals don’t really make any of us rich, but they disseminate your work throughout the world through our contacts at other foreign publishers.”

Stay tuned!